Predictors of residual pulmonary vascular obstruction after anticoagulation monotherapy in patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism
Original Article

Predictors of residual pulmonary vascular obstruction after anticoagulation monotherapy in patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism

Youjin Chang1#^, Jae Young Moon2#^, Jae-Hyeong Park3^, Sangbong Choi1^, Hyuk Pyo Lee1^, Jae Kyeom Sim4^, Young Seok Lee4^

1Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Sanggye Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea; 2Division of Pulmonology and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Sejong Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, Daejeon, Korea; 3Department of Cardiology in Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University School of Medicine, Daejeon, Korea; 4Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Guro Hospital, Seoul, Korea

Contributions: (I) Conception and design: Chang Y, Moon JY, Lee YS; (II) Administrative support: Chang Y, Moon JY, Lee YS; (III) Provision of study materials or patients: All authors; (IV) Collection and assembly of data: All authors; (V) Data analysis and interpretation: All authors; (VI) Manuscript writing: All authors; (7) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.

#These authors contributed equally to this work.

^ORCID: Youjin Chang, 0000-0002-4838-466X; Jae Young Moon, 0000-0001-8724-6289; Jae-Hyeong Park, 0000-0001-7035-286X; Sangbong Choi, 0000-0003-0532-3557; Hyuk Pyo Lee, 0000-0002-6712-5647; Jae Kyeom Sim, 0000-0003-0873-2807; Young Seok Lee, 0000-0002-0144-2033.

Correspondence to: Young Seok Lee, MD, PhD. Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Guro Hospital, 148, Gurodong-ro, Guro-gu, Seoul 08308, Korea. Email: avonlea76@korea.ac.kr.

Background: Patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) can be treated with anticoagulation monotherapy. However, clinicians are concerned as to whether anticoagulation monotherapy is sufficient to reduce mortality in patients with a large embolic burden, and to resolve vascular obstruction. We investigated whether anticoagulation monotherapy was appropriate in patients with intermediate risk PE in terms of the occurrence of residual pulmonary vascular obstruction (RPVO), and the factors that independently predict the occurrence of RPVO.

Methods: This was a multicenter retrospective observational study of patients at intermediate risk of PE who were admitted to three hospitals between January 2012 and December 2017.

Results: Of total 91 patients, the median age was 72 years and 37 (40.7%) were male. Twenty-five patients (27.5%) were diagnosed with RPVO during follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression revealed chronic lung disease [odds ratio (OR), 4.14; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.243–13.797; P=0.021] and the ratio of the diameters of the main pulmonary artery and ascending aorta ratio (P/A ratio) >1.0 documented on a chest computed tomography (CT) at presentation (OR, 3.46; 95% CI, 1.113–10.770; P=0.032) were significant independent predictors of RPVO occurrence. The incidence of RPVO in patients without these two factors was only 9.7%, but in those with the two factors it was 60% (P=0.004).

Conclusions: Anticoagulation monotherapy did not seem to be a sufficient treatment to reduce RPVO, but the outcome was similar to that of patients treated with other therapies. Therefore, considering the risk-benefit ratio, we do not need to change the initial treatment as systemic thrombolytic therapy or catheter-based therapy in patient with intermediate risk PE. Underlying chronic lung disease and a P/A ratio >1 on the initial chest CT predicted the occurrence of RPVO. Therefore, we should carefully assess persistent of dyspnea and exercise limitations using various methods in patients with these risk factors, to detect the occurrence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary disease (CTEPD) earlier.

Keywords: Pulmonary embolism (PE); residual pulmonary vascular obstruction (RPVO); anticoagulants; quality of life; chronic thromboembolic pulmonary disease (CTEPD)


Submitted Mar 09, 2021. Accepted for publication May 31, 2021.

doi: 10.21037/jtd-21-403


Introduction

Pulmonary embolism (PE) occurs frequently in hospitalized patients. Treatment for PE is based on risk stratification for mortality (1-7). Patients with PE are classified as being at low, intermediate, or high risk of mortality, based on vital signs [e.g., blood pressure (BP)] and right ventricle (RV) pressure overload (e.g., RV dysfunction and/or elevated cardiac enzymes) (1-7). In general, low-risk patients are treated with anticoagulation monotherapy, and high-risk patients are treated with systemic thrombolysis or surgical embolectomy (1,2). In patients with intermediate risk PE, anticoagulation monotherapy was shown to be effective in reducing mortality and is therefore recommended by current guidelines (1,2). However, clinicians are still concerned as to whether anticoagulation monotherapy is sufficient to reduce mortality in patients with a large embolic burden, and to resolve vascular obstruction (8-11).

According to previous studies, many patients treated with PE show residual pulmonary vascular obstruction (RPVO) on follow-up imaging after terminating PE therapy (12-18). Because RPVO is associated with the recurrence of PE and occurrence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary disease (CTEPD), with or without pulmonary hypertension (PH), patients with RPVO have a lower quality of life than those without RPVO (12-17,19,20). In patients with RPVO, persistent dyspnea and exercise limitations due to dyspnea are important symptoms because they may indicate CTEPD or CTEPH. In addition, treating CTEPD and CTEPH improves quality of life (14,21-23). Thus, current guidelines recommend that clinicians confirm the presence of RPVO via follow-up imaging in patients with persistent dyspnea and exercise limitations after terminating PE therapy (2,14). We hypothesized that anticoagulation monotherapy does not reduce the occurrence of RPVO due to the large embolic burden in patients with intermediate risk PE, and that identifying the factors that predict the occurrence of RPVO in these patients would allow earlier detection of CTEPD and CTEPH (because the clinician is more likely to detect these diseases in patients with risk factors for RPVO). Thus, we investigated whether anticoagulation monotherapy was appropriate in patients with intermediate risk PE in terms of the occurrence of RPVO, and the factors that independently predict the occurrence of RPVO.

We present the following article in accordance with the STROBE reporting checklist (available at https://dx.doi.org/10.21037/jtd-21-403).


Methods

Study overview

This was a multicenter retrospective observational study of patients with intermediate risk PE who were admitted to three university-affiliated hospitals in South Korea between January 2012 and December 2017. A subset of these patients was selected by applying inclusion and exclusion criteria. All patients were diagnosed by echocardiography, chest computed tomography (CT), and cardiac markers and treated with anticoagulation monotherapy, in accordance with international guidelines (1,2). Anticoagulation monotherapy included initial heparin treatment [e.g., conventional heparin or low-molecular weight heparin (LMWH) for 5 days, followed by warfarin or non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) for 3–6 months] and initial NOAC treatment (e.g., NOAC use from first day at admission to 3–6 months). In patients using conventional heparin, we intravenously injected conventional heparin and titrated the dose to maintain an activated partial thromboplastin time of 60–80 sec. In patients using LMWH, we subcutaneously injected 1 mg/kg of LMWH every 12 hours. In patients using oral administration of warfarin or NOAC, the dose of warfarin was titrated to maintain an international normalized ratio of 2–2.5 and the NOAC dose was determined based on the manufacturer’s recommendations (1,2). The primary outcomes were the incidence of RPVO and factors predicting the occurrence of RPVO after anticoagulation monotherapy in patients with intermediate risk PE.

This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013). This study was approved by the Institutional Review Boards (IRBs) of all participating hospitals and the Korea Medical Center IRB (approval No.: 2020GR0057). We ensured protection of patient privacy and anonymity. The need for informed consent was waived because of the retrospective nature of the study.

Patients

The inclusion criteria were patients aged above 20 years diagnosed with an intermediate risk PE; these patients were treated with anticoagulation monotherapy. In addition, all included patients had follow-up images (e.g., chest CT or echocardiography) after 3–6 months of PE therapy. The exclusion criteria were as follows: patients with acute PE who were at low or high risk of mortality; patients initially treated with anticoagulation therapy combined with thrombolytic therapy (e.g., systemic thrombolysis or catheter-based therapy); patients without a follow-up chest CT or follow-up echocardiography after 3–6 months of PE treatment; and patients with insufficient electronic medical records.

Definition

Acute PE was defined as the occurrence or aggravation of dyspnea within 15 days before the diagnosis, with an embolism in the pulmonary artery confirmed by chest CT (1,2). Patients with intermediate risk PE were those with an acute PE without hemodynamic instability, along with RV dysfunction confirmed by echocardiography, or myocardial injury confirmed by elevated cardiac markers, including troponin I >0.06 µg/L or troponin T >0.01 µg/L) (8). Hemodynamic instability was defined as the need for cardiopulmonary resuscitation, systolic BP <90 mmHg with evidence of end-organ hypoperfusion, and vasopressors required to achieve BP >90 mmHg despite adequate filling status with evidence of end-organ hypoperfusion (2). RV dysfunction on echocardiography was defined as an enlarged RV and flattened interventricular septum in the parasternal long axis view, dilated RV with a basal RV diameter/left ventricle diameter ratio (RV/LV ratio) >1.0 and McConnell sign on the four-chambered view, and decreased tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion measured in M-mode (<16 mm) (2). RPVO was defined as persistent pulmonary vascular obstruction according to imaging studies regardless of symptoms (e.g., dyspnea or exercise limitations) after 3–6 months of anticoagulation monotherapy based on international guidelines (13,16-18). Comorbidities were those previously diagnosed by a physician and based on the traditional indicators. Chronic lung disease included chronic obstructive lung disease, interstitial lung disease, tuberculosis destroyed lung, and bronchiectasis. Chronic liver disease included chronic hepatitis and liver cirrhosis. Recent surgery was defined as surgery performed within 3 months before diagnosis. Immobilization was defined as immobility due to various causes for over 3 days within 1 month before the PE diagnosis. Estrogen use was defined as estrogen intake during the 1 month before the diagnosis of PE. Central lesions at the PE location were defined as the presence of a saddle-shaped thrombus in the main pulmonary artery or the presence of a thrombus in the left or right main pulmonary artery. Peripheral lesions were defined as the presence of a thrombus not in the main pulmonary artery but rather in the lobar, segmental, or subsegmental pulmonary arteries. The ratio of the diameters of the main pulmonary artery and ascending aorta (P/A ratio) was determined at the level of the bifurcation of the pulmonary artery as seen on the chest CT image. Hospital mortality was defined as death due to PE between admission and discharge. Three-month mortality was defined as death due to all causes within 3 months after the diagnosis of PE.

Statistical analysis

Descriptive statistics are presented as medians (25th to 75th percentiles) or numbers (percentages). Fisher’s exact test was used to analyze categorical data, and the Mann-Whitney U-test was used to compare continuous data. Logistic regression analyses using backward elimination were performed to identify the factors independently predicting RPVO occurrence. Independent variables and those with P values <0.1 in univariate analyses were included in multivariate analyses. The data are presented as adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A two-tailed P value <0.05 was considered to indicate significance. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software (version 21.0; IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA).


Results

Clinical characteristics

During the study period, 1,216 patients suffered from acute PE. From this group, risk stratification was not possible in 149 because of medical record deficiencies, and 818 were excluded because they were not considered to be at intermediate risk (low risk group, n=777; high risk group, n=41). Among the 249 patients with acute PE who were identified as being at intermediate risk, 71 had been treated with systemic thrombolysis or catheter-based therapy rather than anticoagulation monotherapy and 87 had no follow-up data. Thus, 91 patients were finally included in the study (Figure 1).

Figure 1 Flow chart of enrolled patients. CT, computed tomography; echo, echocardiography.

The clinical characteristics of the 91 patients are listed in Table 1. The median age was 72 years and 37 (40.7%) were male. The body mass index, systolic BP, heart rate, and peripheral oxygen saturation at PE occurrence were 25 kg/m2, 120 mmHg, 100 beats/min, and 93%, respectively. The most common comorbidities were solid cancer and chronic lung disease. PE in almost 20% of patients was due to conditions related to immobilization. The median pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) was 99 points. Most pulmonary emboli in this study were central lesions (e.g., saddle-shaped or involving both main bronchi), and the median pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) at the occurrence of PE was 50 mmHg.

Table 1
Table 1 Clinical characteristics of the patients in this study
Full table

The management and prognosis of patients in this study are summarized in Table 2. Almost all of the patients were treated with heparin (e.g., conventional heparin or LMWH) as initial therapy and a NOAC and warfarin as maintenance therapy. All-cause mortality during the 3 months after the start of treatment was 5.5%. The median follow-up period in included patients was 30 months. At the long-term follow-up examinations, 25 of 91 (27.5%) patients were diagnosed with RPVO. Among the patients diagnosed with RPVO, 11 (44%) suffered from persistent dyspnea.

Table 2
Table 2 The management and prognosis of patients in this study
Full table

Comparison of baseline characteristics between patients with RPVO and those without RPVO

We investigated the occurrence of RPVO during long-term follow-up to evaluate the appropriateness of anticoagulation monotherapy.

The baseline characteristics of the patients with and without RPVO are compared in Table 3. In those with RPVO, the median age was 71 years, and 48% were male. Patients in this group had a higher proportion of chronic lung disease than did patients without RPVO. The proportion of other diseases was similar in the two groups. Patients with RPVO had a lower proportion of provoked PE than those without RPVO, although the difference was not statistically significant. The severity of PE was similar in the two groups.

Table 3
Table 3 Comparison of baseline characteristics between patients with RPVO and those without RPVO
Full table

Factors predicting the occurrence of RPVO

Logistic regression was used to identify the factors associated with RPVO occurrence. According to the univariate analyses, chronic lung disease and a P/A ratio >1.0 documented on a chest CT scan obtained at presentation were significantly associated with the occurrence of RPVO. Multivariate logistic regression (using backward elimination) revealed chronic lung disease (OR, 4.14; 95% CI, 1.243–13.797; P=0.021), and a P/A ratio >1.0 documented on a chest CT scan at presentation (OR, 3.46; 95% CI, 1.113–10.770; P=0.032) were significant independent predictors of RPVO occurrence (Table 4).

Table 4
Table 4 Factors predicting the occurrence of RPVO
Full table

The incidence of RPVO in patients without these two factors was only 9.7%, but in those with the two factors it was 60% (Figure 2; P=0.004). In the latter group, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy of the two factors in predicting RPVO occurrence were 66.7%, 87.5%, 60%, 90.3%, and 82.9%, respectively (Table S1).

Figure 2 The incidence of RPVO based on the number of risk factors. RPVO, residual pulmonary vascular obstruction.

Discussion

This study investigated whether anticoagulation monotherapy was appropriate in patients with intermediate risk PE, and the factors that independently predicted RPVO. Our results showed that almost 30% of patients undergoing anticoagulation monotherapy showed RPVO on follow-up imaging. The occurrence of RPVO was higher among patients with underlying chronic lung disease and a P/A ratio >1 on the chest CT scan obtained at initial presentation than in patients without these factors. Therefore, clinicians should pay close attention to differentiate between persistent dyspnea due to RPVO and dyspnea due to underlying disease in patients with chronic lung disease, particularly those with a P/A ratio >1 on the initial chest CT scan. If patients have unexplained dyspnea, CTEPD should be considered and CTEPD patients should be treated to improve quality of life.

Most studies on PE aimed to define an appropriate treatment for reducing mortality. Patients with PE were treated according to risk stratification based on the results of these studies (1-7). In patients at intermediate risk, PE treatment was also decided based on the evaluation of bleeding risk and the likely benefit in terms of reducing mortality (1-7,11). As treatment for acute PE was improved, mortality due to acute PE has decreased remarkably (1-7). In our study, hospital mortality following acute PE was 0% and 3-month mortality was 5.5%, with the latter including the progression of comorbidities, such as cancer. Anticoagulation monotherapy in patients with intermediate risk PE is effective for reducing mortality when considering the risk-benefit ratio, but anticoagulation monotherapy did not seem to be a sufficient treatment to reduce RPVO because almost 30% of patients with anticoagulation monotherapy showed RPVO on follow-up imaging. However, this result was similar to that of patients in our initial cohort who were first treated with systemic thrombolysis or catheter-based therapy instead of anticoagulation monotherapy (27.5% vs. 31.1%; P=0.690, Figure S1). Therefore, the type of initial treatment (anticoagulation alone vs. systemic thrombolysis or catheter-based therapy) did not affect the occurrence of RPVO, similar to previous studies (24,25). Also, in our study, 44% of patients with RPVO (11 of 25 patients) suffered from persistent dyspnea. Because almost 50% of intermediate-risk PE patients with RPVO suffered from persistent dyspnea, clinicians should pay close attention to the presence of CTEPD in these patients.

International guidelines only recommend follow-up imaging in patients with persistent symptoms due to PE. However, in clinical practice, it is difficult to differentiate between dyspnea due to PE and dyspnea due to comorbidities, particularly in elderly patients. To solve this problem, several examinations, such as cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) and exercise right heart catheterization (ex-RHC), may be needed (1,2,14,26). Because clinicians cannot apply these examinations in all intermediate-risk PE patients, selecting patients at risk of RPVO is important. Previous studies have proposed a predictive model for CTEPH, we could not easily apply to intermediate-risk PE patients because of many variables in this model (14,18,27,28). In our study, patients with underlying chronic lung disease and a P/A ratio >1 determined from the chest CT scan obtained at the initial presentation were at higher risk of RPVO than patients without these factors. These variables can be used to evaluate patients with RPVO, even by non-experts. Because we can easily predict RPVO on the day of admission, patients with risk factors for RPVO could be more carefully evaluated for persistent dyspnea through history-taking, CPET, and ex-RHC.

A mechanism explaining the associations of risk factors with RPVO has been suggested: chronic lung diseases are associated with systemic inflammation and the release of systemic inflammatory factors, such as C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, and tumor necrosis factor-α, which contribute to thrombotic events. In addition, PH induced by chronic lung disease can impede the pulmonary circulation (29-33). A P/A ratio > 1 on the chest CT scan is an indicator of persistent PH, especially in patients with chronic lung disease (34,35). The RV/LV ratio >0.9, interventricular septum flattening and paradoxical septal bowing on chest CT are an indicator of RV dysfunction, but these findings were not associated with RPVO in this study. Considering a P/A ratio >1 on the chest CT is an indicator of persistent PH, persistent PH may be a better predictor of RPVO than transient RV dysfunction.

This study had several limitations. First, the total number of enrolled patients was relatively small compared with the number of screened patients, because international guidelines do not recommend routine follow-up imaging in patients with PE. Moreover, the concept of CTEPD was not well-defined between 2012 and 2017. However, the number of patients in our study was sufficient to reveal an association between anticoagulation monotherapy in patients with intermediate risk PE and the occurrence of RPVO. Second, patients with PE or RPVO were diagnosed by chest CT. Although ventilation-perfusion scintigraphy is the most effective modality to diagnose PE and RPVO, chest CT is easier to perform because of the relatively low cost in the Republic of Korea (<$200). In addition, given that high-quality CT angiography is adequate for diagnosing proximal CTEPD (sensitivity =99%, specificity =97%), chest CT may also be valuable in the treatment of the disease (1,2,14).

In conclusion, anticoagulation monotherapy did not seem to be a sufficient treatment to reduce RPVO, but the outcome was similar to that of patients treated with other therapies. Therefore, considering the risk-benefit ratio, we do not need to change the initial treatment as systemic thrombolytic therapy or catheter-based therapy in patient with intermediate risk PE. Underlying chronic lung disease and a P/A ratio >1 on the initial chest CT scan predicted the occurrence of RPVO. Therefore, we should carefully assess persistent of dyspnea and exercise limitations using various methods in patients with these risk factors, to detect the occurrence of CTEPD earlier. Additional studies with larger patient cohorts are warranted to validate our findings.


Acknowledgments

Funding: None.


Footnote

Reporting Checklist: The authors have completed the STROBE reporting checklist. Available at https://dx.doi.org/10.21037/jtd-21-403

Data Sharing Statement: Available at https://dx.doi.org/10.21037/jtd-21-403

Peer Review File: Available at https://dx.doi.org/10.21037/jtd-21-403

Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://dx.doi.org/10.21037/jtd-21-403). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved. The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013). The study was approved by the Institutional Review Boards (IRBs) of all participating hospitals and the Korea Medical Center IRB (approval No.: 2020GR0057). We ensured protection of patient privacy and anonymity. The need for informed consent was waived because of the retrospective nature of the study.

Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.


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Cite this article as: Chang Y, Moon JY, Park JH, Choi S, Lee HP, Sim JK, Lee YS. Predictors of residual pulmonary vascular obstruction after anticoagulation monotherapy in patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism. J Thorac Dis 2021;13(7):4217-4227. doi: 10.21037/jtd-21-403

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